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Time Machine

I told you so doesn't quite cover it: "Beware Bush's American Dream", the headline of a 2001 Observer Op-ed read, stating also: "This president is not to be trusted".

Furthermore, the article characterizes the Bush administration in harsh words that were later to become the mainstream profile:

But the Bush cabinet is neither centrist nor compassionate. In home affairs, it is brutalist and reactionary - for tax cuts overtly biased towards the rich, against the protection of consumers, workers and the environment. In overseas affairs, Mr Bush has appointed Cold War warriors from his father's era who do not appreciate the nuances of a transformed international environment.

The article also contained a warning and a prediction about the transatlantic relations:

Britain and Europe will find doing business with this administration tense, oppositional and unproductive. It would be difficult enough had Mr Bush won a mandate. Without it, we are in for a very rough ride indeed.

Reality exceeded the prophetic warnings: Disastrous is probably a more appropriate term than unproductive.

The reason why I take this trip in the time machine is to remind us all that even the most fearsome prediction can be insufficient to describe the extent of the calamity produced by the poor judgement of voters and policy makers.

In my latest op-ed I suggest that readers take into account the possibility that the future will be characterized by neither the end of the world in a nuclear show-down in 2025 as CIA recently predicted nor the triumph of Western democracy.

Instead, we may live to see the end of the longest and most succesful democratic era in recorded history. Not too many years ago a scenario like this would have been readily rejected as a nightmare scenario cooked up in the feverish mind of an overstimulated intellectual.

Now, all of a sudden, it seems increasingly possible. It is more than a wild card in the study of potential futures.

-Spencer, December 18, 2008
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